Interesante reflexión de Spiegel Online sobre las relaciones comerciales entre Alemania e Irán:
The German government's efforts to intensify sanctions against Iran could soon hit taxpayers if the government is forced to pass expected budget shortfalls on to them. Under pressure from Washington, the European Union could place Bank Melli, an Iranian business responsible for the majority of Germany's trade with Iran, on its embargo list.
The German government backs domestic exports to Iran with so-called Hermes export credit protection, and if Iran doesn't pay for the exports, the German government would be forced to foot the bill to German businesses.
Experts at the German Finance Ministry have estimated that budget losses in 2008 alone could amount to €700 million ($1.03 billion) to €800 million euro. In the medium-term, however, that figure could swell to €2 billion.
A number of German companies are already winding down business with Tehran because of direct pressure from the United States. German exports during the first half of 2007 fell by 18 percent -- a decline that continues today. This has already resulted in fewer taxes from these companies and resulted in a budget shortfall in the triple-digit millions.
Iran Embargo: Boycott of Tehran Hits German Coffers - International - SPIEGEL ONLINE - News
La razón es que todas las exportaciones que se hacen a Irán se realizan con un seguro público, financiado por el Gobierno. Así que la pérdida estimada por dejar de tener contratos con Irán es de entre 700 y 800 millones de euros, que ascenderían a 2 billones de euros en el medio plazo.
Parece preocuparles más la pérdida económica por tanto que el peligro que supone Irán...
¿Es esta la causa de que hayan estado diciendo que Irán estaba colaborando con la AIEA a pesar de que hasta EL Baradei insistía que no le dejaban entrar en todas las instalaciones iraníes?
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